TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on early scoring momentum rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Miami, New England, or neither team is the first to score 14 points in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026. If either Miami or New England reaches 14 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available buy and sell orders at various price points, giving traders insight into the current supply and demand for each outcome. The price movements are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and strategic trading activity.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—New England or Miami—is the first to reach 14 points in the game. The final score will be verified against official game statistics. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either New England or Miami would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team formations might also move the market. Finally, as the game draws closer, any public statements from players or coaches could affect sentiment and drive price fluctuations in this market.