TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which player achieves the longest rushing play in an upcoming football game between two teams. Each market focuses on a specific player and a minimum yardage threshold they need to surpass for their respective outcome to be considered successful.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified player records a longest rush exceeding the defined yardage threshold during the New England vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves according to the actual longest rush recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each participant's performance against their respective thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market, as prediction markets can be more reactive to new information and less influenced by pre-conceived notions. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome of the longest rush.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt in the New England versus Miami game will determine the outcome. Official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the longest rush, and the resolution will reflect that verified data. The market will close prior to the end of the game to prevent any last-minute manipulation or uncertainty, ensuring a fair and accurate result.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key running backs on both teams are crucial; if a star player is ruled out, their contract price will likely decrease. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could favor a more run-heavy offensive strategy, potentially increasing the value of contracts for running backs. Game-day news, like changes to offensive play-calling or a player’s personal situation, could also cause shifts in the market. Finally, any significant media coverage or expert analysis could influence trader sentiment and move prices.