TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game, focusing on their ability to throw touchdowns. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will reach certain thresholds of scoring passes during the match. The outcome depends purely on the players' in-game statistics.
All markets in this event evaluate passing touchdown performance by named quarterbacks (Malik Willis or Drake Maye) in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold of passing touchdowns (ranging from 1 to 5+). A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the named quarterback achieves at least the specified number of passing touchdowns during the game. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether plays are nullified by penalties—the market settles based strictly on the total passing touchdowns they record. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each quarterback, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for all outcome levels.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the insights of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored by the relevant player in the New England versus Miami game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses, as this will ultimately determine the payout for this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could cause prices to shift. Unexpected announcements about quarterback performance or alterations to offensive play-calling would also be key catalysts. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in sentiment. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026.