TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks Malik Willis and Drake Maye in a specific football game between New England and Miami. It focuses on how many times each quarterback's passes are intercepted by the opposing team during the match.
The event evaluates whether Malik Willis or Drake Maye records a specified number of passing interceptions in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+) for each quarterback. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of passing interceptions recorded during the game. These rules apply independently to each market, with each one specifically tied to its respective interception threshold for the named quarterback.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more people buy contracts predicting a specific number of interceptions, the price rises, reflecting increased belief in that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a continuously updated assessment of potential interception totals.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions thrown during the New England versus Miami game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified. This ensures a transparent and accurate resolution process for all participants.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health – injuries to either starter would be a major catalyst. Weather conditions, particularly rain or wind, could increase the likelihood of interceptions. Coaching strategies and defensive schemes employed by both teams will also influence the market. Unexpected changes in team performance or key player matchups could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player availability or significant strategic adjustments could lead to substantial price movements in this market.