TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between New England and Miami. The focus is on whether predetermined thresholds of passing attempts are met by the named players during the contest.
All markets in this event resolve based on whether the named quarterback—either Malik Willis or Drake Maye—records a specified minimum number of passing attempts in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. For each market, if the quarterback meets or exceeds the stated threshold of passing attempts, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly across all markets: if the quarterback is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once the quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. These provisions ensure that markets are resolved fairly, accounting for both player participation and in-game performance, while emphasizing that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment differs from expert analysis. If a significant number of people believe a certain outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value for informed traders. It's important to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt statistics for the New England vs Miami game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing attempts by each quarterback will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either team would be a significant catalyst, as this directly impacts the expected passing volume. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a game is expected to have heavy rain or wind, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced leading up to the game could influence traders’ views on how often each team will attempt to pass. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential market movements.