TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming professional football game, focusing on whether specific athletes or units surpass predetermined fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes depend on detailed statistical contributions, including offensive plays, defensive achievements, and special teams activity, all measured against standardized scoring rules.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or defensive units during the full duration of the New England vs Miami Pro Football game scheduled for November 1, 2026, including any overtime periods. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various in-game statistics such as passing and rushing yards, touchdowns, receptions, field goals, defensive plays, and special teams contributions. Players who do not participate or lack a recorded fantasy-point value are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no adjustments for post-expiration corrections. Each market has a unique threshold; if the designated player or team’s total exceeds their respective threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.'
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action, while this market's prices are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As the event approaches, you may see convergence between the two, as new information becomes available and both markets adjust. However, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, particularly when there's significant public interest and active trading in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official fantasy point totals for the New England and Miami players are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official fantasy point totals calculated by a major fantasy sports provider. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the result, reflecting the actual performance of the players in the game. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the official results are released.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New England or Miami teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in player matchups or coaching strategies could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, broader shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding player performance could move the market. Finally, significant trading volume, even without specific news, can indicate informed traders are taking positions, potentially signaling a change in expectations for this market.