TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets link financial outcomes to the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game, with payouts scaling directly according to each player's fantasy scoring in a specific statistical format.
Each market determines payouts based on the PPR fantasy points scored by a designated player during the New England vs Miami game on Nov 1, 2026, using Sleeper's standard weekly scoring. The Yes outcome pays $0.01 per point, rounded to the nearest cent with half-cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No outcome pays the remainder of $1.00 after subtracting the Yes payout. If a player records negative or no points, or if Sleeper does not assign a fantasy total for the week, the Yes payout is $0.00 and the No payout is $1.00. All payouts scale proportionally with contract positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for the players involved will be used to determine the winning contract. Resolution will be based on official fantasy scoring rules and data from established fantasy sports providers. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and resolution nears. The outcome will be determined by the official fantasy scoring of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather forecasts could significantly impact expectations for player performance and, consequently, contract prices. Unexpected news about a player's health, even a minor ailment, can cause substantial shifts in the market. Additionally, late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or potential matchups could also drive price movement. Monitoring these signals closely is crucial for traders seeking to capitalize on opportunities.