TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:25 PM EST
Kalshi
The event centers around a match between two teams in a professional soccer league. It focuses on whether both teams will score during the regular time of the game, including any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within the standard match duration.
If New England and Miami both score a goal in the New England vs Miami MLS match originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of PredictionHero users believe a sportsbook is undervaluing the chance of both teams scoring, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered on either side, as this market reacts to new information and differing perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams to score. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome and can lose money if their predictions are wrong. This dynamic creates a constantly updating price that aims to represent the true probability as perceived by the market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both New England and Miami score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net, and the result will be reported publicly. The final price on Kalshi will reflect whether both teams scored or not, determining payouts for those who traded in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either New England or Miami would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements closer to the match could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, any public statements from coaches or players regarding their offensive approach might influence how traders assess the likelihood of both teams scoring, leading to fluctuations in volume and price.