Will both teams score in the 3rd quarter?

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract fluctuates based on supply and demand – if more people believe it will happen, the price goes up, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are essentially betting against each other, and the market price reflects the probability of the event occurring as perceived by the collective group. The current market price can be interpreted as the probability of the outcome happening, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the New England and Miami teams score at least one point during the third quarter of the game. Official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining whether both teams met this condition. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders will then receive or pay out funds based on their positions.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before game time. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New England or Miami teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself could cause price fluctuations as traders react to perceived information or attempt to influence the market.