TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will achieve a specific point differential advantage over the opposing team in the second half of an upcoming football game, including any overtime periods.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in favor of either New England or Miami during the second half (including overtime) of the specified game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold for the winning margin: New England must win by more than 13.5, 10.5, 9.5, 7.5, 6.5, 4.5, or 3.5 points, or Miami must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 6.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 10.5 points. Only points scored in the second half and any overtime periods count toward the resolution. If the game is not played as scheduled, all markets are void.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, although sportsbook odds remain a valuable point of comparison when evaluating potential value in this market.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread in the second half of the New England versus Miami game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result reported by the league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either New England or Miami would likely cause movement, as would changes in weather conditions expected during the game. Unexpected shifts in team strategy or in-game performance during the first half could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and trigger further price adjustments. Keep an eye on these signals as they unfold, as they all have the potential to shift the odds in this market.