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New England vs Miami: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What team will score first touchdown?

Volume:
$515,139

Malik Washington

 - Kalshi

Malik Washington - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 5:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Malik Washington

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,132
N/A
N/A
$22,212
Settled
Yes
kalshi

A.J. Brown

View
10%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
—
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
$272
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

TreVeyon Henderson

View
6%
Yes 6¢No 94¢
—
N/A
$482
N/A
N/A
$482
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Hunter Henry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$96,011
N/A
N/A
$88,398
Settled
No
kalshi

Rhamondre Stevenson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,249
N/A
N/A
$52,363
Settled
No
kalshi

Ollie Gordon II

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,324
N/A
N/A
$45,162
Settled
No
kalshi

NE Patriots D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,142
N/A
N/A
$38,779
Settled
No
kalshi

Eli Raridon

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,350
N/A
N/A
$42,753
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,576
N/A
N/A
$39,662
Settled
No
kalshi

Caleb Douglas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,859
N/A
N/A
$30,913
Settled
No
kalshi

Drake Maye

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,929
N/A
N/A
$27,574
Settled
No
kalshi

DeMario Douglas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,079
N/A
N/A
$23,589
Settled
No
kalshi

Malik Willis

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,018
N/A
N/A
$14,257
Settled
No
kalshi

Efton Chism III

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,724
N/A
N/A
$14,019
Settled
No
kalshi

Greg Dulcich

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,324
N/A
N/A
$10,483
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Williams

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,317
N/A
N/A
$10,281
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Bell

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,485
N/A
N/A
$8,124
Settled
No
kalshi

Corey Kiner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,574
N/A
N/A
$7,483
Settled
No
kalshi

MIA Dolphins D/ST

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,537
N/A
N/A
$1,740
Settled
No
kalshi

DJ Herman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,271
N/A
N/A
$2,134
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin Coleman Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,251
N/A
N/A
$2,239
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Kacmarek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,224
N/A
N/A
$1,224
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaylen Wright

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Latu

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tanner Arkin

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This market focuses on predicting which team’s defense will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game. It includes scenarios where either defense scores first or no touchdown is scored at all during the game.

Kalshi

The market determines whether the New England Patriots defense, the Miami Dolphins defense, or neither scores the first touchdown in the specified professional football game. If either defense scores the first touchdown, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If no touchdowns are scored by either team’s defense—or if no touchdowns are scored in the game at all—the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all other markets resolve to No. Special provisions handle cases where a defensive unit is active but does not take a snap, settling the market to the fair price before the game starts. Once a unit takes a snap, resolution depends strictly on whether they score the first touchdown. Touchdowns scored by offensive units on fake punts or field goals do not count toward these markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market tracks the current prices for each player to score the first touchdown of the game, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $491,470. You can also view historical price movements to see how the market has evolved over time. The total volume traded on this market is $513,602. This allows traders to assess market sentiment and potential opportunities within the first touchdown market.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market represents the collective beliefs of individuals trading on Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of various outcomes. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player scoring the first touchdown. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of that outcome. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price represents the current consensus view of all traders on Kalshi regarding the likelihood of each player being the first to reach the endzone. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date information and expectations.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the New England versus Miami game. The official game statistics will be used to verify the outcome. Any potential disputes will be resolved based on the official game records as reported by trusted sports news sources. The outcome will be based on the first touchdown scored during regulation or overtime play.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for either team, would likely cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, potentially favoring running backs over quarterbacks. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could move the market as traders react to new information. Finally, public sentiment and betting patterns on Kalshi itself will continue to shape the prices until the game concludes.