TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 9:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Miami will win the New England vs Miami professional MLS soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Miami a 36.0% probability of winning, while New England is at 34.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game as determined by the official result, per the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for November 1, 2026, as the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time will determine the outcome of this market and its resolution on November 2, 2026.
The market resolves based on the result of the New England vs Miami MLS soccer game scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If New England wins, the 'New England' market resolves to Yes. If Miami wins, the 'Miami' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their true beliefs about the outcome. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when considering the aggregate insights of informed traders. However, sportsbook odds can still offer valuable context when evaluating potential trading opportunities in this market, and discrepancies may present arbitrage possibilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information, their own analysis, and their expectations of how others will react. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adapts to reflect the latest available information and collective intelligence. The more contracts purchased for a specific outcome, the higher its price will climb.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the New England vs Miami game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It is important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand the potential implications for your positions in this market.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Major media coverage, expert analysis, and public opinion polls could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for identifying potential trading opportunities and managing risk in this market as the game draws nearer.