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410,482
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Closed: Oct 22, 8:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether A.J. Brown or D'Andre Swift will score one or more, and two or more touchdowns respectively, in the New England vs Chicago pro football game. Currently, the probability of A.J. Brown scoring 1+ touchdowns is 100.0%, while the probability of D'Andre Swift scoring 2+ touchdowns is also 100.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Roschon Johnson scores at least 2+ touchdowns in the New England vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026, as determined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market is scheduled to resolve on October 23, 2026, following the conclusion of the fixture.
Both markets resolve based on whether the specified team's defensive/special teams unit scores at least one touchdown during the game. If the unit is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before kickoff. Once a snap occurs, resolution depends solely on touchdowns scored, excluding those from fake punts or offensive field goals. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NFL.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of different touchdown scenarios. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can offer insights into where the crowd and the books disagree on the potential outcome of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored by each team in the New England vs Chicago game will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the number of touchdowns will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New England or Chicago teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced leading up to the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team performance or matchups could lead to adjustments in the prices of contracts within this market.