TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the total combined score of the New England and Chicago football game will exceed 50.5 points. Currently, the “over 50.5 points scored?” outcome is trading at 99.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the New England vs Chicago Pro Football game, as reported by the official game results, with the market resolving to “Yes” if the teams collectively score more than 48.5 points. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the originally scheduled game on Oct 22, 2026, with final settlement occurring by the resolution date of 2026-10-23.
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a unique numerical threshold for the total combined points scored by both teams in the New England vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for October 22, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds its respective threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' The thresholds range incrementally from 27.5 points to 69.5 points, offering varied levels of difficulty for achieving a 'Yes' outcome. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially connected with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market’s price is determined purely by supply and demand. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide insights into where the crowd believes value lies, and how that contrasts with professional oddsmakers’ assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the New England vs Chicago points total will be over or under the specified line. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of the 'over' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price represents the consensus view of all participants, and reflects their aggregated predictions about the final score. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the New England vs Chicago game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract pays out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then receive their payouts based on the final result, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the New England or Chicago teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could indicate a shift in sentiment and cause the price to adjust rapidly.