TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend entirely on the official game statistics, reflecting how effectively each team moves the ball during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either New England or Chicago in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 22, 2026. Each market has a specific yardage threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) that, if met or exceeded by the respective team, results in a 'Yes' outcome. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game’s actual commencement. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from participants. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, but volume in this market is distributed more evenly, it could suggest disagreement with the conventional wisdom. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more nuanced probabilities, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total yards in the New England vs Chicago game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific yardage total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their contracts are correctly valued by the market. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yards for both the New England and Chicago teams, as officially recorded by the league, will determine the outcome. The market will settle based on the combined total yards achieved during the game. Any adjustments or official revisions to the game statistics will be reflected in the final resolution. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total yards will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either the New England or Chicago teams would be significant, as they directly impact offensive capabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or team personnel decisions could also move the market. Finally, any public statements from analysts or experts offering strong opinions about the game’s likely outcome could influence trader behavior and thus, the price.