TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specific thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the New England vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for October 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Chicago or New England, resolving to Yes if the respective team achieves that threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original schedule, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, potentially leading to more efficient pricing. While sportsbooks may initially have a different view, the prediction market odds often converge closer to the true probability as more information becomes available and more people trade.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own insights, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more a particular outcome is traded, the more liquid it becomes, and the tighter the spread between the buy and sell prices.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of sacks in the New England versus Chicago game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the total number of sacks and therefore the winning outcome in this market. Traders will then be settled based on their positions at the time of resolution.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive linemen or defensive players known for generating sacks on either team would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or rain, could also affect the passing game and therefore the number of sack opportunities. Furthermore, any late-breaking analysis from football experts or unexpected shifts in public sentiment could influence trading activity and move the odds in this market.