TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 9:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many times they successfully kick the ball through the goalposts during play. The outcome depends on whether each team reaches certain thresholds of these scoring plays.
The event evaluates multiple markets centered around the number of field goals scored by New England and Chicago in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+) that either team must achieve for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. All markets share a common secondary rule structure: resolution is based on the official game result. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines influenced by factors like team reputations and public perception, while this market allows participants to weigh information and express their own informed opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes. These differences can present opportunities for traders who believe the market has mispriced the likelihood of a particular outcome, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date expectations of participants, and anyone can contribute to price discovery by placing buy or sell orders.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of field goals scored during the New England versus Chicago game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the results. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game data to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New England or Chicago teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to impact kicking, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team performance could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.