TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between New England and Chicago. It focuses on whether designated players achieve particular yardage milestones through both rushing and receiving plays during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players achieve defined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds in the New England vs Chicago game scheduled for Oct 22, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by a penalty — the outcome is determined by the total rushing and receiving yards they accumulate during the game. Each market has a unique yardage threshold that must be met or exceeded for resolution to 'Yes'. The markets are independent, and each has its own criteria for resolution based on the player's combined yardage performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, the prediction market odds can be more accurate than sportsbook odds, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and continually update based on real-time trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting an outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective belief of all participants regarding the likelihood of the total rushing and receiving yards falling within the specified ranges for the players involved in the New England versus Chicago matchup. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics from the New England versus Chicago game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing and receiving yardage totals for the relevant players will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the market's resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could significantly impact the predicted rushing and receiving yardage totals. Unexpected starting lineup changes or reports on player matchups are also likely to move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can shift the price, reflecting changes in trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.