TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific upcoming football game. Each market focuses on a different player, allowing participants to speculate on individual performance metrics. Payouts are directly tied to the exact number of receptions recorded by each specified player during the match.
These markets function as scalar prediction mechanisms centered around the number of receptions recorded by individual players in the New England vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for October 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific player, with Yes contracts paying $0.05 per reception recorded, up to a maximum payout of $1.00. The No contracts pay the remainder, calculated as $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Receptions are capped at 20 for payout purposes. Payouts are proportional to contract holdings, meaning a holder’s return scales with their position size relative to the total market. For illustration, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60; eleven receptions would adjust these to $0.55 and $0.45 respectively. Should the player record zero receptions, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays the full $1.00. All markets operate independently, with each resolving based solely on the reception count of its designated player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the insights of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market tends to adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as the market digests new data and forms its own consensus about the likely outcome of the New England vs Chicago game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception ladder outcomes for players in the New England vs Chicago game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each player achieving specific reception totals. This creates a real-time forecast driven by collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players involved in the New England vs Chicago game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official stats released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see which outcomes were successful and receive their payouts accordingly following the game’s completion.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key receivers or quarterbacks on either the New England or Chicago teams, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected passing volume and thus reception totals. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reliable sources regarding player matchups or game plans could impact trader sentiment and prices.