TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 10:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game. The outcome depends on whether individual players meet or exceed predetermined reception thresholds during the match.
All contracts are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff unless the player records the required number of receptions. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes full-game receptions including overtime.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on news, analysis, and their own predictions, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. This creates a real-time, market-driven forecast for the number of receptions in the New England vs Chicago game, distinct from static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players involved in the New England vs Chicago game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or adjustments to team strategies could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or reports on a player’s health status would likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, late-breaking analysis from football experts or significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also influence the price of contracts in this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.