TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track receiving yard performance for specific players in an upcoming NFL game between New England and Chicago. Payouts scale linearly with the total yards each designated player records, offering participants a way to speculate on individual player performance.
Each market operates as a scalar betting structure where Yes contracts pay out $0.0025 for every receiving yard accumulated by the specified player during the New England vs Chicago game scheduled for October 22, 2026. The maximum payout for Yes contracts is capped at $1.00, equivalent to 400 receiving yards. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring the total return for both positions sums to $1.00 regardless of outcome. Payouts are directly proportional to yardage achieved, with examples illustrating that 80 yards would yield $0.20 for Yes and $0.80 for No, while zero yards would result in $0.00 for Yes and $1.00 for No. All markets share identical payout mechanics and constraints, differing only in the player whose performance they track.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Over time, the prices here often become more accurate forecasts of the actual outcome as more information becomes available and traders refine their estimates. It’s common to see convergence between the two as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still exist, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price will fluctuate as new information emerges and traders update their beliefs about the likely receiving yardage totals for the players involved. The market dynamically adjusts to incorporate all available information.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the New England versus Chicago game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage totals for each player will be used to determine which contracts payout, based on the specific yardage thresholds defined in the market. The market will settle based on the official NFL statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would likely cause substantial price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions, could also influence expectations for passing yardage. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also play a role. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to traders adjusting their positions, causing the prices to fluctuate as the game draws closer.