TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many receiving yards specific players accumulate in a single football game between New England and Chicago. Payouts increase progressively with higher yardage thresholds, offering different return levels based on performance.
Each market evaluates player receiving yards in the specified game, with Yes contracts paying according to a tiered schedule based on every 10-yard increment. Payouts range from $0.0000 for 0–9 yards up to $1.0000 for 200+ yards, calculated using the formula floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y is derived from official receiving yards rounded to the nearest 10. No contracts receive $1.00 minus the Yes payout, with a maximum Yes payout of $1.00. Negative yardage results in a $0.00 Yes payout. All markets resolve to Yes upon completion, independent of each player's performance.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. You may find that prediction market prices incorporate unique factors or react more quickly to breaking news. However, it's also possible to see convergence between the two, especially as an event approaches and more information becomes available. It's valuable to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage outcomes for the New England and Chicago game. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The closer the game gets, the more the price will likely reflect the expected outcome, based on factors like player injuries and weather conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the New England versus Chicago game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as reported by official NFL statistics, will determine the winning contracts. It’s important to note that any adjustments or revisions made to the official statistics after the game will be reflected in the resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the most up-to-date information as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the New England or Chicago teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict adverse conditions like heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected changes in quarterback performance or coaching strategies could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could also contribute to price movements in this market.