TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players achieve a rushing distance beyond a set threshold during a football match between New England and Chicago. Each participant's performance is evaluated independently, focusing on their longest single run during the game.
The event determines if any of the listed players—D'Andre Swift, Caleb Williams, TreVeyon Henderson, Drake Maye, or Rhamondre Stevenson—records a longest rush exceeding their respective threshold yards in the New England vs Chicago Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 22, 2026. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty, the market resolves based on the longest rush distance they achieve during the game. All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome for one player does not affect the others. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by analysts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates opinions from a diverse range of traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate forecasts of the event outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as traders process information and adjust their beliefs about which player will achieve the longest rush.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player having the longest rush. As more people buy a contract for a specific player, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of that outcome. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the cost to own one unit of exposure to that outcome, and the market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt in the New England versus Chicago game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the outcome. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the longest rush, and that information will be used to settle this market. Traders will be able to see the final results on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the prices in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if inclement weather is predicted, could also impact the expected game plan and favor different players. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions related to running plays could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable price fluctuations leading up to Oct 23, 2026.