TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between New England and Chicago Fire. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game will be high-scoring or not. The outcomes depend solely on the final tally of goals after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty kicks.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the New England vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count toward the goal total for any of these markets. Each market has a specific threshold: if the total goals exceed 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' If the total goals are at or below the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts and may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often adjust their lines based on betting action, but this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders weigh various factors influencing the total goals scored.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective expectation. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies, creating a dynamic and informative pricing mechanism for the New England vs Chicago Fire goals market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the New England vs Chicago Fire match will determine which contract settles at 100, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either New England or Chicago Fire could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before kickoff could cause traders to reassess their predictions, leading to price fluctuations in the New England vs Chicago Fire goals market.