TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The match evaluates New England's ability to secure a decisive victory over Chicago Fire with varying goal margins. Outcomes depend strictly on the final score after regulation time, excluding extra periods or penalty shootouts.
All markets resolve based solely on the outcome of the New England vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from consideration. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if New England wins by more than 2.5 goals (i.e., at least 3 goals), if New England wins by more than 1.5 goals (i.e., at least 2 goals), if Chicago Fire wins by more than 1.5 goals (i.e., at least 2 goals), or if Chicago Fire wins by more than 2.5 goals (i.e., at least 3 goals). Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the odds here will move accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the market aggregates information from a diverse range of participants, potentially identifying mispriced opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the New England vs Chicago Fire match spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders can earn money based on their insights. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a constantly updating forecast of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the New England vs Chicago Fire match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence this market before the New England vs Chicago Fire match takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential price movements.