TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 9:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between New England and Chicago Fire, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It allows participants to speculate on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends purely on the final score at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the New England vs Chicago Fire professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If New England wins, the 'New England' market resolves to Yes. If Chicago Fire wins, the 'Chicago Fire' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result at the end of regular time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the two. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information or react to unexpected developments, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the New England vs Chicago Fire match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New England vs Chicago Fire match, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the New England or Chicago Fire teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could also cause the market to move. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning has the potential to influence trading activity.