TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specified athletes achieve certain fantasy point thresholds using a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or teams during the full game (including overtime) of the New England vs Chicago Pro Football match scheduled for Oct 22, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive/special teams contributions as detailed in the scoring format. If a player does not participate or is not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper, they are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no adjustments for post-expiration corrections. Markets resolve to "Yes" if the specified athlete or team exceeds their designated fantasy point threshold; otherwise, they resolve to "No".
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. If prediction market traders collectively believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view by trading contracts, driving the price away from the sportsbook’s implied probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders can consistently earn rewards.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total fantasy points scored in the New England vs Chicago game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals from official sources will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring that all traders receive the correct payout based on the actual event results. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the New England or Chicago teams would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions favorable to one team's playing style, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy might also lead traders to reassess their predictions, causing the price to fluctuate. Monitoring these types of developments can help understand potential shifts in this market.