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New England vs Chicago: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

New England vs Chicago: 3rd Quarter Spread

Volume:
$249,622

Chicago wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

Chicago wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 22, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 10:49 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$77,186
N/A
N/A
$33,675
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,464
N/A
N/A
$50,350
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 1.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,501
N/A
N/A
$34,173
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,705
N/A
N/A
$18,263
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,150
N/A
N/A
$13,075
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,054
N/A
N/A
$9,978
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,813
N/A
N/A
$6,585
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,854
N/A
N/A
$4,409
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,974
N/A
N/A
$2,932
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,766
N/A
N/A
$2,389
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,022
N/A
N/A
$1,574
Settled
No
kalshi

New England wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$834
N/A
N/A
$834
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$300
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either New England or Chicago during the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between New England and Chicago during the third quarter of the game scheduled for October 22, 2026. For any market where Chicago must win by a specified margin (e.g., over 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, 2.5, or 1.5 points), the market resolves to Yes only if Chicago's third-quarter score exceeds New England's by more than that exact number. Conversely, markets requiring New England to win by a certain margin (e.g., over 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points) resolve to Yes only if New England's third-quarter points surpass Chicago's by more than the stated threshold. No other quarters or overall game results influence these resolutions; only points scored during the third quarter are counted. All markets are independent, and each has its own specific threshold for resolution.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If sportsbook odds significantly differ from the implied probabilities on Kalshi, it could indicate disagreement about key factors influencing the game, such as potential injuries or weather conditions. It's common to see prediction markets move ahead of sportsbook lines as new information emerges, and vice versa.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the NFL 3rd quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair price to take either side of the spread, factoring in all known information.

This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the NFL, and will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the 3rd quarter spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of their purchase, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New England or Chicago teams would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the passing or running game, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can also cause the price to move as they react to new information or adjust their positions.