TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcomes depend on whether each team reaches certain thresholds of such tackles during the match.
These markets resolve based on the total number of sacks achieved by each team in the New England vs Buffalo Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. A sack is counted when a quarterback is tackled behind the line of scrimmage during a regular play, excluding any tackles that occur during a two-point conversion attempt. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of sacks for either Buffalo or New England, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If there’s significant disagreement between the two, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and influences traders’ views.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different sack totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time view of expectations. This differs from fixed-odds betting, as the odds aren’t set by a bookmaker but are determined by supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded during the New England versus Buffalo game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The exact number of sacks will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual sack total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts predicting a different total will not.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key offensive linemen or defensive players on either team would be significant, as they directly impact pass protection and pass-rushing ability. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or rain, could also affect the game plan and the likelihood of sacks. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could also shift market sentiment. Any updates related to these factors could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.