TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many times they successfully kick the ball through the goalposts during play. The outcome depends on whether each team reaches certain thresholds of these scoring plays.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals each team records during the New England vs Buffalo Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold for the number of field goals a team must achieve for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. Thresholds range from 1 to 4 field goals for each team, meaning multiple markets can resolve simultaneously depending on the game's scoring dynamics. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely number of field goals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the event outcome. It is common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the total number of field goals scored in the New England vs Buffalo game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd, providing a dynamic and real-time forecast of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair value for each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of field goals scored by both the New England and Buffalo teams during the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified results of this contest.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries to either the New England or Buffalo teams, particularly their kickers or offensive players, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or heavy rain, which could affect the kicking game, are also likely to move prices. Even late-breaking analysis from sports commentators or updated statistical projections could impact trader sentiment and lead to fluctuations in the price of contracts within this market.