TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the rushing performance of Josh Allen, James Cook III, TreVeyon Henderson, Drake Maye, and Rhamondre Stevenson in the October 4, 2026, game between New England and Buffalo. Payouts increase linearly with each yard rushed up to a $1.00 cap per contract.
Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the designated player during the specified game, with each No contract paying $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are capped at $1.00 per contract and constrained to a maximum of 400 rushing yards. The Yes payout scales linearly with the number of yards rushed, while the No payout is the remainder, ensuring that together they sum to $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available and the event draws closer. It’s a useful exercise to compare the two to identify potential discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the New England vs Buffalo game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, and the contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are finalized. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the New England or Buffalo teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a storm is predicted, could also influence the market, as inclement weather often leads to a more run-heavy offensive approach. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive matchups could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also contribute to movement in this market.