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OPEN INTEREST:
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410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether James Cook III achieves specific rushing yard thresholds in a football game between New England and Buffalo. The outcomes depend entirely on his performance during the match, with settlement based on official statistics.
All markets evaluate whether James Cook III accumulates specified rushing yard thresholds in the New England vs Buffalo professional football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 50+ to 170+ rushing yards. If Cook records equal to or more than the threshold in any market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A secondary rule clarifies that if Cook is active but never takes a snap, all markets settle at the fair market price before kickoff. Once Cook takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—settlement is determined by the official rushing yards recorded. The markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect others, though they are all contingent on the same game and player performance. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Early in the market, sportsbooks may have a significant edge due to information advantages, but as more information becomes available and trading volume increases, this market tends to become more accurate. It's common to see the prediction market odds converge towards the true outcome as the event approaches, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders or market orders to participate. As more traders enter the market with their predictions, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely rushing yardage total. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence in different outcomes.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the New England vs Buffalo game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yardage total, as recorded by the official league statistics, will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the settlement of their contracts.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes in weather forecasts predicting inclement conditions that could affect the running game. News regarding offensive line changes or strategic shifts in play-calling could also move the market. Unexpected news about the health of quarterbacks, potentially leading to a more run-heavy approach, could also impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on shifts in market sentiment.