TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of receptions achieved by various players in an upcoming football game between New England and Buffalo. Payouts scale linearly with the number of receptions, offering participants a way to speculate on individual player performance.
Each market resolves based on the number of receptions recorded by a specified player during the New England vs Buffalo Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For each player market, Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, while No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. The Yes payout is capped at $1.00 and constrained to a maximum of 20 receptions. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, with examples provided such as 8 receptions paying Yes $0.40 and No $0.60, and zero receptions paying Yes $0.00 and No $1.00. All markets are scalar, meaning payouts vary continuously based on the exact number of receptions within the defined limits. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NFL, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding each player’s potential reception total. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official reception totals for the New England vs Buffalo game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official NFL statistics recorded for the game, specifically the number of receptions made by each player included in the market. The platform will then determine which contracts align with the official results and settle accordingly. Traders will be able to view the final results and settlement details on Kalshi following the game's completion.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in practice reports, such as a key receiver being limited or a quarterback favoring a particular target, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about defensive matchups or coaching decisions could prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to increased volume and price movement in this market.