TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether specific players will achieve certain reception thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different player and reception milestone, allowing participants to bet on individual player performance.
All markets resolve based on official statistics from the New England vs Buffalo Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For any player listed, if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the number of receptions they record during the game. All thresholds are inclusive (e.g., '2+' means two or more receptions). Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Each contract represents a specific outcome—for example, a player achieving over or under a certain number of receptions. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their assessment of the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of success, and lower prices suggest a lower probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official reception totals for players in the New England vs Buffalo game. The platform will use official data sources to determine the number of receptions achieved by each player and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome is officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions could significantly impact expectations for player performance and, consequently, the market price. Unexpected news about a player’s health, such as a last-minute injury report, would likely cause substantial shifts. Game-day developments, such as a change in offensive play-calling or a key defensive matchup, could also lead to volatility in this market as traders react to the evolving situation.