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$1,879,276,037

410,833

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4,363

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5

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New England vs Buffalo: Receiving Yards Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of New England vs Buffalo?

Volume:
$181,138

Khalil Shakir

 - Kalshi

Khalil Shakir - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Khalil Shakir

View
6%
Yes 6.4¢No 93.6¢
—
N/A
$1,934
N/A
N/A
$1,854
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Hunter Henry

View
3%
Yes 2.7¢No 97.3¢
—
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$143
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Romeo Doubs

View
2%
Yes 1.6¢No 98.4¢
—
N/A
$137
N/A
N/A
$137
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Rhamondre Stevenson

View
0%
2%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$46,880
N/A
N/A
$24,651
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

DJ Moore

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,363
N/A
N/A
$1,262
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

TreVeyon Henderson

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126,411
N/A
N/A
$60,051
Settled
No
kalshi

Dalton Kincaid

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,272
N/A
N/A
$2,154
Settled
No
kalshi

James Cook III

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,988
N/A
N/A
$1,620
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks receiving performance for multiple players in an upcoming football game, with payouts scaling based on each player's total yards gained. The structure incentivizes prediction of both player efficiency and game dynamics through tiered rewards tied directly to statistical outcomes.

Kalshi

Each market operates as a scalar prediction mechanism where Yes contracts pay out according to a predefined tiered schedule based on the player's official receiving yards in the specified game. Payouts increase incrementally for every 10-yard interval up to a maximum cap of $1.00 per contract. The payout formula applies a cubic scaling function to yardage values, capped at 200 yards, with precise floor operations ensuring discrete tier enforcement. No contracts receive the complementary difference from $1.00, creating a zero-sum balance where total payouts across both positions sum to $1.00 per contract pair. Negative yardage results automatically assign zero payout to Yes contracts. All markets resolve to Yes following the yardage-based calculation, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming official league affiliation.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the New England vs Buffalo receiving yards market displays the current prices for various yardage ranges, allowing traders to buy and sell contracts predicting the total receiving yards for players in this game. It also provides a price history chart, showing how the market has fluctuated over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $87,759. The total volume traded on this market is $181,138. This information helps users understand market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to player performance.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives as traders react to news, injuries, and other factors. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more accurate reflections of the true probability of an event occurring, potentially offering insights beyond traditional betting odds. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market's lifecycle.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different receiving yardage outcomes. Traders can place bids (buy) or offers (sell), and the market price reflects the highest bid and lowest offer. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. As more information becomes available and traders adjust their beliefs, the market price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the New England vs Buffalo game.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the New England vs Buffalo game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official statistics released by the NFL. The market will determine which contracts pay out based on whether the actual receiving yardage falls within the ranges defined by each contract. All trading will cease once the outcome is determined and verified.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the New England or Buffalo teams would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about quarterback performance or play-calling tendencies could also move the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive strategies could lead to shifts in expectations and, consequently, contract prices.