TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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New England vs Buffalo: Player Longest Rush
kalshi

What is the result of New England vs Buffalo?

Volume:
$2,486

Drake Maye: over 12.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Drake Maye: over 12.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Drake Maye: over 12.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$614
N/A
N/A
$612
Settled
Yes
kalshi

James Cook III: over 18.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$653
N/A
N/A
$653
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Allen: over 14.5 yards

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$629
N/A
N/A
$627
Settled
No
kalshi

Rhamondre Stevenson: over 10.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$298
N/A
N/A
$281
Settled
No
kalshi

TreVeyon Henderson: over 12.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$293
N/A
N/A
$293
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

These markets track whether specific players will achieve a rushing yardage milestone in an upcoming football game between New England and Buffalo. Each market focuses on a different player and their performance threshold. The outcomes depend on game-day statistics and player participation.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the named player records a longest rush exceeding the specified yardage threshold in the New England vs Buffalo Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the longest rush recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all player-specific markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each participant's performance against their respective thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL longest rush market tracks the current prices for each player to have the longest rush in the upcoming New England vs Buffalo game. You'll find the implied probabilities, price history, and 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $2,444. The total volume traded on this market is $2,486. This allows traders to see how sentiment is shifting and identify potential opportunities based on market activity surrounding this particular contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives from many traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can create arbitrage opportunities for informed traders who can identify mispricings between the two.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous, order-book based system where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular player having the longest rush. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the probability of that player achieving the longest rush, as perceived by the market. As more trades occur, the price converges towards a more accurate prediction.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt during the New England vs Buffalo game will be declared the winner. Official game statistics from the NFL will be used to determine the longest rush, and the market will settle based on this verified data. Any ties will be resolved according to the platform’s standard tie-breaking procedures.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could influence game strategy and favor different players. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to traders adjusting their positions and altering the prices within this market.