TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether specific players and teams will exceed designated fantasy point thresholds in an upcoming football game. Each market centers on individual performance metrics under a standardized scoring system, reflecting contributions from various in-game activities such as passing, rushing, receiving, and defensive plays.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring system applied to the full game (including overtime) between New England and Buffalo scheduled for October 4, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified player or team records above the stated fantasy point threshold; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Players not participating or未被Sleeper分配幻想积分值将被视为得分0分。Sleeper在到期日发布的幻想积分总和将被使用,无需额外四舍五入,且到期后对发布数据的更正不计入。所有市场均使用相同的计分格式,包括传球、冲刺、接球、踢球以及防守和特殊队伍的得分规则。防守和特殊队伍的得分基于完成的动作(如触球、擒杀、安全等)以及允许的对手得分。个别球员的特殊队伍和失球规则也适用,其中特殊队伍触球得6分,丢球得0分,丢失触球得-2分,触球回收触球得6分。
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative market.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy point totals for the New England vs Buffalo game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official fantasy scoring rules, as determined by major fantasy sports providers. The market will then determine which outcome—whether a player exceeds or falls short of a specified fantasy point threshold—was the correct prediction. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the New England or Buffalo teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to passing or running, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news about player matchups or potential rule interpretations could lead to substantial movements in the market leading up to Oct 4, 2026.