TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks whether both New England and Buffalo score specific point thresholds in their football game on October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different minimum point requirement that both teams must meet for the outcome to be considered successful. The resolution depends solely on the final scoring results of the game.
The markets resolve based on whether both New England and Buffalo score at least the specified point thresholds (14+, 21+, 28+, or 35+) in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026. Points scored in overtime count toward the total. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the markets will resolve to a fair price. All markets operate independently, each with its own point threshold requirement.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market represents the collective belief of traders. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than traditional point spreads or over/under lines, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. However, sportsbook odds can offer a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies may present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the New England vs Buffalo game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in this market, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the New England vs Buffalo game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both teams have scored at least one point each by the end of regulation time. Any overtime periods will not be considered for the purposes of this market. The final score will be the determining factor, and the market will settle based on that verified information.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. News regarding key player injuries on either the New England or Buffalo teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe conditions are predicted, could also impact scoring expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could lead to increased trading activity and price movement in this market.