TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This group forecasts the result of the second half of a Major League Soccer (MLS) match between the New England Revolution and the New York Red Bulls. The market resolves to which team scores more goals in the second half, or if they score the same number of goals resulting in a draw. Stoppage time is included in the second half.
In the upcoming MLS game between New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New England Revolution" if New England Revolution score more goals than New York Red Bulls in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New York Red Bulls" if New York Red Bulls score more goals than New England Revolution in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New England Revolution" if New England Revolution score more goals than New York Red Bulls in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "New York Red Bulls" if New York Red Bulls score more goals than New England Revolution in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of an event. This can sometimes lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of an outcome, and comparing them can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making regarding this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs. Polymarket may attract a different demographic of traders with unique insights, leading to different price discovery compared to Predict. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform can influence price volatility and the speed at which information is incorporated. These factors contribute to the possibility of observing differing probabilities for the same event, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying outcome for the New England Revolution match.