TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 9:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This PredictionHero group aggregates markets on the spread and over/under for the New England Revolution vs. New York Red Bulls MLS game on October 28th. Markets cover various point spreads and total goals scored, both for the entire game and for specific halves.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 7:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 7:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn't yet widely reflected in sportsbook lines. The volume of $77,287 traded on this market suggests a degree of confidence in the crowd's assessment, potentially offering a different perspective than conventional betting options.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the New England Revolution vs. Red Bulls match. Furthermore, the specific market structures offered – such as the focus on second-half over/under goals on Polymarket versus the spread on Predict – appeal to different trading strategies. These factors, combined with differing liquidity and trading volume, can result in distinct price discovery processes and ultimately, different odds for this market.