TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:02 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a Major League Soccer (MLS) game between the New England Revolution and Chicago Fire FC. Users are betting on whether New England will score more goals, Chicago will score more goals, or if the two teams will draw in the second half of the match, including stoppage time.
In the upcoming MLS game between New England Revolution and Chicago Fire FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New England Revolution" if New England Revolution score more goals than Chicago Fire FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if New England Revolution and Chicago Fire FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chicago Fire FC" if Chicago Fire FC score more goals than New England Revolution in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming MLS game between New England Revolution and Chicago Fire FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New England Revolution" if New England Revolution score more goals than Chicago Fire FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if New England Revolution and Chicago Fire FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Chicago Fire FC" if Chicago Fire FC score more goals than New England Revolution in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets allow anyone to participate and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. It’s possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities from this market with those offered by sportsbooks, though transaction fees and market liquidity should be considered.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices on Polymarket and Predict can differ due to several factors, including varying user bases, trading volumes, and platform-specific rules. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to different interpretations of the available information. Additionally, the liquidity of this market on each platform can influence price discovery. Lower volume can result in greater price volatility and wider spreads between buyers and sellers. The differing probabilities reflect the unique market dynamics of each platform as traders assess the potential for the New England Revolution to win the second half.