TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns the halftime result (leading, draw, or trailing) of a Major League Soccer (MLS) match between the New England Revolution and Chicago Fire FC on October 17, 2026. Markets are available on each team leading and a draw at halftime.
In the upcoming MLS game between New England Revolution and Chicago Fire FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming MLS game between New England Revolution and Chicago Fire FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers or have different margins, impacting the comparison. The current volume of $5,756 suggests active trading in this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform may differ, leading to discrepancies. For example, Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders, while Predict could have a broader range of participants. These differences in market composition and trading behavior can result in varying probabilities for the New England Revolution vs. Chicago Fire halftime result, even though both platforms address the same underlying question.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the New England Revolution or Chicago Fire FC would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also influence trading activity. Even significant pre-game commentary from analysts or managers could sway public opinion and move the market. Any unexpected developments leading up to kickoff have the potential to alter predictions and impact the price of this market.