This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Nevada Wolf Pack and Utah State Aggies scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on the winner of this single game, with resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Nevada win OR Utah State win) are stated to resolve to YES, making the market unresolvable as a binary prediction. Polymarket uses standard winner-take-all logic.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi version of this market. The resolution logic is contradictory and will create settlement disputes. Stick to Polymarket, which has clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. If you hold Kalshi positions, contact support immediately to clarify intended resolution.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all structure. Nevada win resolves to Nevada Wolf Pack; Utah State win resolves to Utah State Aggies. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines outcome.
Kalshi: Logical contradiction: If Nevada wins the game, market resolves YES. If Utah State wins the game, market resolves YES. Both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same YES resolution, violating binary logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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