TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second half of a college football game, specifically analyzing how much one team might outscore the other after halftime. Outcomes are determined solely by points scored from the third quarter onward, including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the second half (including overtime) of the Nevada vs UCLA college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold: if UCLA wins the second half by more than the stated margin, those markets resolve to Yes; if Nevada wins the second half by more than the stated margin, those markets resolve to Yes. Markets where neither team meets their respective threshold resolve to No. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve at a fair price, reflecting equitable assessment of available information and circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individuals, potentially incorporating factors that sportsbooks may overlook. It’s common to see initial discrepancies that narrow as the event approaches, with this market often becoming a leading indicator of the likely result as more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the second half of the Nevada vs UCLA game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body for college basketball, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Nevada or UCLA teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team strategies or starting lineups could also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, real-time performance during the first half of the game, and any significant shifts in momentum, will likely be reflected in the market price. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, could also contribute to price fluctuations.