TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nets vs. Heat
Volume:
$3,071,947
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Brooklyn Nets and Miami Heat scheduled for March 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET at Miami. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi includes player props for athletes (Andrew Wiggins, Michael Porter Jr., Davion Mitchell) who do not play for the Nets or Heat, creating a fundamental roster mismatch. Additionally, Kalshi spread thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 5.5, 8.5, 11.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 23.5, 26.5, 29.5 points) do not align with Polymarket's standard -12.5 and -13.5 spread lines.Hero Tip:
Before settlement, cross-reference the official NBA roster for March 5, 2026 to confirm player eligibility. For Kalshi player props on non-roster players, request clarification or flag for manual review. For spreads, establish a mapping rule: Kalshi's 14.5+ threshold approximates Polymarket's Heat -13.5 (14+ points); Kalshi's 11.5+ approximates Heat -12.5 (13+ points). Do not assume automatic equivalence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to Nets or Heat based on final score including overtime. Spreads: Heat -12.5 resolves Heat if they win by 13+; Heat -13.5 resolves Heat if they win by 14+. Totals use 225.5, 226.5, 227.5 thresholds (Over if combined score is 226+, 227+, 228+ respectively). Player props (Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Michael Porter Jr., Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nicolas Claxton, Pelle Larsson, Noah Clowney, Nolan Traoré, Danny Wolf, Kel'el Ware) resolve Yes if stat exceeds threshold. Source: Official NBA box score on NBA.com.
- Kalshi: 11 markets all resolve Yes if Miami wins by specified margins: 1.5, 2.5, 5.5, 8.5, 11.5, 14.5, 17.5, 20.5, 23.5, 26.5, or 29.5 points. No explicit moneyline or total markets listed. Player props include Andrew Wiggins (Nets), Michael Porter Jr. (not on either roster in standard 2026 context), Davion Mitchell (not on either roster), and Pelle Larsson (Heat). Critical issue: Wiggins, Porter Jr., and Mitchell are not standard Nets/Heat players, creating unresolvable ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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