TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between the Netherlands and Serbia. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the match.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Netherlands vs Serbia UEFA Nations League match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals—defines a separate outcome, with higher thresholds requiring increasingly dominant offensive performances. The governing rules consistently apply across all thresholds, ensuring uniform evaluation of match results. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds, which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the views of many independent traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – both prediction market prices and sportsbook odds will adjust. However, prediction markets often demonstrate greater accuracy in forecasting event outcomes compared to traditional polls or expert analyses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Netherlands vs Serbia match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders to buy or sell at specific prices, or market orders to execute trades immediately at the best available price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Netherlands vs Serbia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which outcome wins. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Netherlands or Serbia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also affect trading activity. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before the match could also shift the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence traders’ decisions.