TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Netherlands and Serbia, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands score more goals than Serbia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Netherlands and Serbia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Serbia" if Serbia score more goals than Netherlands in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Netherlands and Serbia, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands score more goals than Serbia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Netherlands and Serbia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Serbia" if Serbia score more goals than Netherlands in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction markets like Polymarket often reflect information and opinions not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd, allowing traders to react quickly to news and developments. You might find that the implied probabilities from this market differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Netherlands vs. Serbia second half. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions or access to unique information.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the second half of the Netherlands vs. Serbia match. The platform will determine which outcome aligns with the official result, and shares will be settled accordingly. It’s important to note that the outcome is determined by the actual event result, not by any subjective interpretation or individual assessment.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift traders’ expectations. Significant in-game events during the first half, such as early goals or red cards, would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected tactical adjustments by either team could also move the market. Overall, any information that alters the perceived probability of Serbia winning the second half has the potential to cause price fluctuations in this market.