TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:45 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Netherlands and Serbia, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Netherlands vs. Serbia match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Netherlands and Serbia, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Netherlands vs. Serbia match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, and may be influenced by promotional considerations. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, reflecting their assessment of the probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, prediction markets can dynamically adjust as new information emerges and opinions shift among participants. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly as the event approaches.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell contracts representing different exact scores. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more traders buy a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, if more traders sell, the price decreases. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome of the Netherlands versus Serbia match. The current top market is Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Serbia?
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the Netherlands versus Serbia match will be used to determine the winning prediction. The resolution will reflect the exact score as recorded by the official match organizers. Any disputes or ambiguities regarding the final score will be resolved using widely accepted sports data sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the settled outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Netherlands or Serbia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather forecasts for the match location could also move the market. Unexpected results in other relevant matches, or even public statements from key players, might also affect trader sentiment. As the match draws closer, increased media coverage and public discussion are likely to drive more volume and volatility.