TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:42 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Netherlands and Serbia, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Netherlands vs. Serbia match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Netherlands and Serbia, scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Netherlands vs. Serbia match originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular score is likely, the price of shares representing that score increases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, expert analysis, and overall sentiment surrounding the Netherlands vs. Serbia match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Netherlands vs. Serbia match, as determined by official sports authorities, will be used to determine the winning share(s) in this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be resolved based on widely accepted sources of sports data. The resolution process aims to be transparent and based on objective, publicly available information.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either the Netherlands or Serbia would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news events or public statements from key players could also create volatility. As Oct 4, 2026 approaches, even minor updates can have a disproportionate effect on the price of shares, reflecting the increasing certainty surrounding the outcome.