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411,051

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4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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Netherlands vs. Serbia
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Netherlands vs. Serbia?

Volume:
$2,282,159

Netherlands

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Netherlands

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$746,990
N/A
N/A
$430,093
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Netherlands

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$439,899
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

NLD

View
99%
13%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$15,073
$156,249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

SER

View
1%
4%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$215
$47,770
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Serbia

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$431,858
N/A
N/A
$250,514
Settled
No
polymarket

Serbia

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$170,383
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
10%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$364
$12,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$232,805
N/A
N/A
$140,676
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Netherlands vs. Serbia)

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between the Netherlands and Serbia, specifically whether the Netherlands will win on October 4, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of a Netherlands victory is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will be settled using Official UEFA statistics. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 4, 2026, to see if the Netherlands secure a win within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic based on official match results and a standardized fallback data hierarchy.Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • The official result as recognized by UEFA is the primary source of truth.
  • If official data is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore, then Sofascore, then a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • A canceled match resolves to 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for draw markets on Polymarket/Predict, and 'Tie' on Kalshi.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Delay: If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, the fallback sources are used in order: Flashscore, Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting.
  • No Data Available: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, Polymarket/Predict markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable. Kalshi markets will resolve based on available information or potentially be voided.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official results are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Netherlands and Serbia.

Kalshi

Markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Netherlands vs Serbia UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes'. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price according to platform rules.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 4, 2026 between Netherlands and Serbia.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, however, are driven purely by participants’ beliefs, allowing prices to adjust dynamically as new information emerges. These markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, particularly when there’s significant public interest and diverse opinions influencing the price. The volume of $2,282,159 suggests considerable engagement with this market.